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The Sahm Rule has flashed, but there's a simpler recession indicator investors should be watching

"The Perkins rule asks whether payrolls are declining. Not rocket science," TS Lombard's Dario Perkins said in a note on Monday.


  • Aug 28 2024
  • 2
  • 271 Views
The Sahm Rule has flashed, but there's a simpler recession indicator investors should be watching
The Sahm Rule has flashed, but there's a simpler recession indicator investors should be watching
Abbie Parr/AAP
  • The Perkins Rule suggests a recession is imminent when monthly payrolls decline.
  • Unlike other indicators, the Perkins Rule focuses solely on negative monthly payroll r… [+3910 chars]

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