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Arsenal 'nine per cent more likely to win Premier League' because of Man Utd

Arsenal are back on top of the Premier League after their win at Brighton.


  • Apr 08 2024
  • 30
  • 11003 Views
Arsenal 'nine per cent more likely to win Premier League' because of Man Utd
Arsenal 'nine per cent more likely to win Premier League' because of Man Utd

Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal FC - Premier League

Arsenal players celebrate Leandro Trossard's goal at Brighton. (Image: Getty)

Arsenal’s chances of being crowned Premier League champions have improved significantly following Liverpool’s 2-2 draw at Manchester United, according to AI. The Gunners finished the weekend top of the table above the Reds on goal difference, having dispatched Brighton 3-0 at the Amex on Saturday night.

According to the Opta Supercomputer, the Gunners had begun the weekend with just a 21.4 per cent chance of landing a first top-flight crown since the 2003/04 campaign. Liverpool were considered favourites and given a 45 per cent chance, while Manchester City, despite lying in third, were just behind them on 33.6 per cen

But those figures have changed following Sunday’s game at Old Trafford. Ahead of a week where they’ll host Bayern Munich in the Champions League and then Aston Villa, Arsenal’s figure has shot up to 30.3%, a rise of 8.9%.

City, who won 4-2 at Crystal Palace at Saturday lunchtime and lie one point off the top, are now established as the Supercomputer’s new favourites having gone up to 40.6 per cent (a rise of seven per cent). And the stats now make for concerning reading for Liverpool fans, whose chances have plummeted after dropping points.

Manchester United v Liverpool FC - Premier League

Liverpool players were left frustrated after being held by Man United. (Image: Getty)

Jurgen Klopp’s side are now deemed to have a 29.1 per cent chance of giving the German the perfect send-off this summer, a dramatic drop of 15.9 per cent. All sides have seven league games remaining, with more twists, turns, and percentage changes expected between now and May 19.

The title contenders all play at home this coming weekend and will be expected to pick up three points. Champions City, gunning for a fourth straight league crown, host Luton Town at 3pm on Saturday.

The Reds will look to get back on track against Crystal Palace on Sunday, with a 2pm kick-off. But a win may mean they only top the table for a matter of hours, with Villa’s visit to the Emirates starting at 4.30pm.

But Liverpool boss Klopp believes that regardless, the race will go down to wire. After the draw at United, he said: “I knew it would be super tricky until the end,” he said.

“The same boys who missed a few chances today are the boys who brought us 71 points. It is (the title race) is likely to have more twists before the season finishes.”

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